Friday, June 12, 2015


Zillow: Drowning on Home Loan?
Carrying a mortgage is no small thing — it’s the largest debt many people will ever have — but it’s considerably harder when a home is valued below what’s left on the mortgage.
That situation is called “negative equity,” or being underwater, and many homeowners sank there in the wake of the recent housing crisis and recession. They are essentially stuck in their homes, unable in many cases to refinance or sell without taking a major financial hit.
At its most dire, 31.4 percent of U.S. mortgage holders were underwater. That was in the first quarter of 2012.
Three years later, the percentage is down by more than half, to 15.4 percent of U.S. mortgage holders, according to the first quarter Zillow Negative Equity Report.
That’s 7.9 million homeowners, of which 11.8 percent — more than 930,000 borrowers — owe more than twice the value of their homes.
“It’s great news that the level of negative equity is falling, but what really worries me is the depth of negative equity. Millions of Americans are so far underwater, it’s likely they may not regain equity for up to a decade or more at these rates,” said Zillow Chief Economist Stan Humphries.
To compound matters, many borrowers — underwater and not — are nearing retirement, and some are facing increased mortgage payments, said Gerri Detweiler, director of consumer education for Credit.com.
Larger payments are looming for many people who participated in federal mortgage relief programs and for many who took out home equity lines of credit before the housing crisis.
“It’s not over for a lot of people. They can still be in a precarious situation if anything goes wrong financially,” she said.
In general, Detweiler counsels underwater borrowers to explore all their options before a financial setback forces them to make a decision they haven’t thought through.
Some people will find it makes sense to stay put until home values rise enough to pull them out of the financial hole, Detweiler said. Others won’t.
Renting out the property also will make sense for some borrowers, but the possibility of tax changes and unexpected expenses will make it less attractive to others.
Detweiler strongly recommends not walking away from a mortgage without getting legal advice.
“I find a lot of consumers don’t understand the implications of just giving up on their mortgage,” she said. In some cases, that can lead to unexpected taxes, garnishment of wages and seizure of bank accounts.
She also suggests that people see a housing counselor or bankruptcy attorney before they tap retirement savings, which can be spared in some bankruptcy proceedings.
For more information about mortgages and home values, visit Zillow Research or follow and ask questions of Zillow Chief EconomistStan Humphries on Twitter.
Here’s a question he fielded recently: Why do underwater borrowers keep paying? “In America, mortgage contracts are imbued with a moral context,” Humphries said.
Melissa Allison

Realtor.com midyear report: the housing market is on track for its best year since 2006  

RealtyTrac spin on housing: the Goldilocks Home Price Analysis April 2015 , provide 3 interactive heat maps on
  • Home Prices Too Hot (sizzling in SF, DC, Fargo, Winston-Salem)
  • Home Prices Too Cold (frigid in St Louis, Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Atlanta)
  • Home Prices Just Right (Riverside, Chicago, Minneapolis, Albany, Cape Coral)

After the Bust: retired and still saddled with a mortgage.  30% of 65+ homeowners had a mortgage in 2013, up from 22% in 2001. Those 75+ jumped from 8% in 2001 to 21% in 2011.  

Distressed properties represent 10% of all sales. As a comparison, they were 15% in 2014. RealtyTrac research on strongest distressed market has identified Allentown and Bethlehem, PA at the top, followed by Toledo, Cleveland, and Detroit. Memphis, parts of Mississippi and Arkansas are up there, as well.

Zillow posts$200K homes with stunning curb appeal. take a look

Walk While Working. Zillow employees do 1-on-1 meetings in their "treadmill room!"

The latest Mortgage Rates: 30 Year fixed at 4.00% and 5/1 ARMS at 2.99%. Expect investor rates to run about ½ point higher on loans. (These are AOL/Zillow.com reported average rates as of Thursday)  

Friday, October 24, 2014

Wall Street: Promoting Public Fear Of Ebola?


I wake-up 4 clock every morning to get ready for work and one of my favorite things to do when I wake up is to turn to Bloomberg TV or CNBC to watch what's going on in our economy and how wall street is taking the news.  I do watch more CNBC than Bloomberg though. Another favorite of mine is to listen to Squawk Box to see what the next IPO is and how good the company will perform among other things.

I like to watch CNBC because I rather watch thing about money than to watch over and over again about the same story in a local regular news channel.  Basically, I watch CNBC because I get more out of it.  Although, I listen to the news channel for current events, my intentions are not to watch the same news over and over.  I got it the first time.

One will think that when watching CNBC, especially Squawk Box at 4 o'clock in the morning it only deal with money, IPOs, and Wall Street.  They also inject politics into the new, which is fine by me.  Personally, I feel that they also talk down the market sometimes.  It is almost like they determine which stock to talk down for the day.  Whichever stock or stocks they decide to talk badly about will go down as one watch.  

Last week, Ebola was the topic and you can see what it did to the stock market, airlines, travel industries, individual investors and 401(k) investment including me. We lost a lot of money.  This week everything died down till today, Friday the 24 of October.  I woke up to another Ebola scare in New York and the people at Squawk Box ran with it and I know that other news sources are doing the same thing but I watch Squawk Box in the Morning and that’s what I know.  

What I am trying to say here is that as they keep reporting that the Doctor in New York with Ebola is not being truthful about his condition prior to checking himself in the hospital.  They were repeating this over and over.  He was accused of say his temperature rose from 98.6 to 103. As I watched DOW, S&P, and Nasdaq future as they were down.  I don't know how much of that was a carry over from yesterday when the new first came out.  Shortly before the end of their show, they announced, that the doctor did not have 103-degree temperature; instead it was 100.3-degree temperature.  When this was going on, I thought to myself there goes my retirement funds again.  It is almost like someone is making money out of this and ordinary people like you and I are loosing big time.

I believe so much in America and our ability to get things done.  America has health care infrastructure that African countries do not have.  Therefore I believe that there is protocols put in place in America to make sure that Ebola or any other disease does not become pandemic in America.  If some African nations in the path of the pandemic manage to become Ebola free, I know and trust that America can take care of this.

I asked that CNBC and other news outlets stop playing with 401K investors and the market as a whole.  Stop talking about what you have no experience and focus on your experience, which is financial market.  You are not an expert on Ebola.  Stop acting like you are and stop promoting public fear of the unknown in the process.  American doctors have determined that  Ebola is not airborne and I believe them and maybe you should too.  Lets wait for the doctors to be proven wrong before we jump into conclusion that they don't know what they are talking about.

I understand that no one from CNBC or even the public will ever see or read this and I’m by no means an expert in anything.  I believe in information but not repetitions that take over the whole news hour.  I love watching CNBC especially at 4 o’clock in the morning.  Perhaps my thought does not matter or reflect others, I thought I share it anyway.  Other people may have the same experience and feel the same way about this issue.

Tuesday, June 24, 2014

Lack financial knowledge increased financial Illiteracy.

We live in the richest country in the world, the United States of America.  I am a proud citizen.  America is a place that you can come with nothing but if you work hard and are noticed you will become something.  Right now in this great country, people lack financial literacy. Our children have no knowledge of how to invest in their future or how money work.  The education system does not teach it in school and parents do not teach it at home. our children think that for someone to make it, they have to go to school and get a good paying job.  We as a society, does not teach our children how to invest their money or how to build wealth.  As a society, we have to do better than this.  To capture this problem, please read below for an article written in USA Today.  I could not find the name of the person that wrote this, but it was in USA Today.
PHOENIX -- Toni Vallee asks her class about the secret to financial success. Good jobs and education are important, her students answer. So, too, are talent, luck and perhaps even physical beauty, they say.
Those aren't the responses she's looking for.
"What makes people financially successful," Vallee said, "are discipline and the ability to delay gratification."
It's an insightful moment for the mostly moderate-income women in her session on basic budgeting. But it also could be considered an instructive lesson for a spend-happy society as a whole.
Five years into an economic recovery, many Americans aren't feeling good about their progress, with the gap apparently widening between rich and poor. Jobs explain part of the discrepancy — people with college degrees have a much lower unemployment rate, for example — but so might differences in financial literacy or understanding.
Money doesn't come with instructions, and there's no doubt that the world has become more complex financially. But there is also plenty of evidence that Americans haven't learned the basics. Some people rack up big credit-card balances or spend too much on assets that depreciate, namely cars and trucks.
Others pay too much in banking fees, leave themselves vulnerable to fraud, fail to participate in retirement accounts and invest too cautiously, parking money in low-yielding deposit accounts while avoiding the stock market entirely.
Consequences of low financial literacy include paying too much in fees or interest, leaving matching funds on the table in retirement plans, not using available tax breaks, retiring with inadequate assets and failing to meet basic goals such as homeownership.
If there's one worrisome symptom, it's the widespread inability of many individuals to build up an emergency or rainy-day fund. Sometimes, that's the result of a failure to delay instant gratification. Financial advisers once recommended socking away enough cash to meet three months' worth of expenses in a pinch. But many now suggest six months' or even a year's worth because of the longer time it now takes to find employment.
A meaningful savings account "means you have the resources to absorb the shocks of life," said Vallee, a retired IBM sales manager who now teaches financial-literacy classes as a volunteer for the YWCA. "It makes the hard times easier to get through."
No wonder the tough economy of the past half-dozen years has been so challenging. The Financial Regulatory Industry Authority, or FINRA, asked 1,000 Americans if they could scrape together $2,000 within a month to meet an emergency. Roughly two in five respondents, 39 percent, said they probably or definitely could not.
Conversely, a study last year of millionaires by Capgemini and RBC Wealth Management found that wealthy households had fully recovered from the recession a couple of years ago, partly because they kept meaningful holdings in stocks and real estate. When those markets bounced back, so did their net worth. A poor understanding of riskier assets like the stock market, now hovering at record highs, is one factor that holds back many Americans.
Nearly 46 percent of Arizona's households are in a "persistent state of financial insecurity," said the Corporation for Enterprise Development, a group that works to alleviate poverty, in a study released in January. The state's rank of 41st was brought down by a high proportion of unbanked residents, those with subprime credit scores, a high proportion of student-loan defaults and other issues..
While Arizona's poverty rate is fifth worst in the nation, poor people aren't the only ones at risk, according to the non-profit. One in four Arizona households earning middle-class incomes between roughly $54,000 and $91,000 also lack three months of savings in the bank, the group reported.
So, enter the importance of something as basic of budgeting — tracking expenses and income every month. It's an exercise that Americans routinely ignore.
Guadalupe resident Petra Estrada, a student in Vallee's YWCA class, is getting the message.
"I have a booklet at home where I write down all my bills," she said. "It lets me know almost exactly how much I can spend or how much over I will be."
Estrada also wants to learn more about credit-card terms and usage, and one day she would like to be a homeowner.
Americans express frustration about their lack of money acumen. In a poll conducted by the National Foundation for Credit Counseling, four in 10 respondents graded themselves a C, D or F for financial literacy.
Young adults are less confident and seniors the most confident, according to a separate poll by Bank of America.
Partly, frustration reflects the fact that the world has become more complex financially. Decades ago, savers plunked their money into plain-vanilla passbook savings accounts, and they bought homes with one type of loan — a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. Many workers had pensions that took care of their retirement-planning needs. Nobody felt the need to manage debit cards, online accounts, 401(k) plans or credit scores; they didn't exist. Few people worried about identity theft. Insurance and income taxes were simpler.
The world has changed, but money-oriented education hasn't kept pace. In the Bank of America survey, 71 percent of respondents agreed that the Internet has made it easier to learn about personal-finance topics and to do the basic research. But the demands and responsibilities also have increased, with 42 percent of people in the poll admitting to feeling overwhelmed by the amount of financial information available.
"It's not rocket science, but it's hard," said Vallee, referring to budgeting, saving, dealing with debt and other topics taught in the YWCA's four-week course. "The earlier you get started, the better off you'll be."
Most Americans don't receive formal personal-finance instruction at an early age, if at all, even though it's a topic they will apply in varying degrees throughout their lives.
"Budgeting would help me, but they don't talk about this at my high school," said L.J. Abad of Gilbert, a 17-year-old student and the only male who showed up for Vallee's small class one day recently. "It's usually the opposite, getting you to think about consumerism."
There has been some progress, with Arizona now requiring some personal-finance instruction in the schools and federal regulators tightening credit-card availability for college students a few years ago. Groups such as Junior Achievement of Arizona also are active, helping to illustrate basic financial interactions and decisions for middle- and high-school students.
"They come here to apply the lessons they've been learning in class," said Abby Slaughter, a coordinator at Junior Achievement's Tempe facility, where students engage in role-playing in classroom modules set up as banks, grocery stores, auto dealerships and other commercial establishments.
"We teach about interest, taxes and other concepts," Slaughter said. "A lot of light bulbs go on."
Ray Himmelberg, a senior regional human-resources director for Walmart in Phoenix, volunteers at Junior Achievement, helping guide students through the exercises and checking their assignments. He considers it an important way to help youngsters gain a better appreciation for the free-enterprise system and how to survive it.
"Kids will say, 'Now I see why my dad works two jobs,'" Himmelberg said. "You see those moments."
Money basics: How much do you know?
The Arizona Republic
Try your hand at the following 10 financial-literacy questions. The first five are from a quiz developed by the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority. The second five are from a test prepared by the JumpStart Coalition.
1. Suppose you have $100 in a savings account earning 2 percent interest a year. After five years, how much would you have?
A) More than $102.
B) Exactly $102.
C) Less than $102.
2. Imagine that the interest rate on your savings account is 1 percent a year and inflation is 2 percent a year. After a year, would the money in the account buy more than today, the same or less?
A) More.
B) Same.
C) Less.
3. When interest rates rise, what typically happens to bond prices?
A) They rise.
B) They fall.
C) They stay the same.
4. A 15-year mortgage typically requires higher monthly payments than a 30-year mortgage but the total interest over the life of the loan will be less.
True or false?
5. Buying a single company's stock usually provides a safer return than a stock mutual fund.
True or false?
6. Take-home pay from your job is less than the total amount you earn. Which of the following best describes what is taken out?
A) Social Security and Medicare contributions.
B) Income tax, property tax, and Medicare and Social Security contributions.
C) Income tax, Social Security and Medicare contributions.
D) Income tax, sales tax and Social Security contributions.
7. A couple receive money as baby gifts and want to put it away for their child's college education. Which of the following tends to have the highest growth over periods of 18 years or longer?
A) Checking accounts.
B) Stocks.
C) Government savings bonds.
D) Bank savings accounts.
8. If you are behind on your debt payments and go to a responsible credit-counseling service, what help can they give you?
A) They can cancel and cut up all your credit cards without your permission.
B) They can get the federal government to apply your income taxes to pay off your debts.
C) They can work with those who loaned you money to set up a payment schedule you can meet.
D) They can force those who loaned you money to forgive all your debts.
9. If your credit card is stolen and the thief runs up a debt of $1,000 but you notify the card issuer after you discover it missing, what is the maximum amount you can be forced to pay under federal law?
A) $500.
B) $1,000.
C) Nothing.
D) $50.
10. If you cause an accident, which type of automobile insurance would cover damage to your own car?
A) Comprehensive.
B) Liability.
C) Term.
D) Collision.
Answers:
1. A. Compounding, or earning interest on interest, would result in more than $102. 2. C. This question illustrates the potential purchasing-power loss on low-yielding savings accounts. 3. B. Bond prices move in the opposite direction of interest rates.4. True. Shorter loans typically require bigger monthly payments but result in lower interest expense. 5. False. A single stock wouldn't be diversified, thus more risky. 6. C. Sales and property taxes aren't deducted from paychecks. 7. B. A portfolio of stocks would be expected to outpace the other conservative investments over many years. 8. C. Responsible credit counselors try to work with lenders to come up with payment solutions. 9. D. The legal maximum is $50, though some credit-card companies will absorb all fraud losses. 10. D. Comprehensive insurance generally pays for damage not resulting directly from an accident.

Saturday, May 31, 2014

Is 3% GDP Possible Next Year?

What is the trigger for market correction? The US trade deficit is getting smaller in first quarter GDP, the obvious revival of recessionary rhetoric could do the trick.  Market watchers believe that the probability of a recession is less than that of an intense hastening in GDP growth.  Market watchers forecast about 2% gain in GDP growth this year in the United States which they also believe will be followed by 3% plus growth next year.     

Sunday, May 25, 2014

DOW Hit Record

DOW Jones Industrial Average hit record level last week.  anyone who invest in DOW will be happy investor with the DOW meaning that big was good and small was bad last week.  DOW was up 0.4% and finished at new high.  Broader indexes did not fair well last week. The S&P 500 fell 0.1% to 18780.48, Russell 200 small-cap index fell 2% to 1107.22, with tech down 3%. Invest with care in your investment choice.  There are risks in every investment.

Friday, May 2, 2014

Invest in all Americans

In recent years, I've notice that women are voting against their self interest.  A recent example will be equal pay act.  The fight for equal pay is not only good for America, it makes a great business sense.  I know majority of American men believe in equal work for equal pay because it makes economics sense.  These men have daughters, wives, sisters, aunts cousins, and female friends that are hard working and they would like to see these important women in their lives make what they are worth in the workforce.  They see these women struggle to make a living even though they work full time.  They also know that if women are paid equally, some of these issues will dissipate.

 Unfortunately, every time I look around, there are some women that actually believe that women do not have the right to get paid as equally as men. I've not met a man that disagrees with equal work for equal pay.  Let us all get together and do what is right for America.  If we truly believe in equality, then giving women the opportunity to earn as much as men will be one of many great example that when America said she believe in equality, she does not only talks the talk, she also walks the walk.  It will send a message that America invest in her own people, no matter who you are.  This will serve as great example to the world.  America depends on it.

Invest in yourself and your country.